{"id":240,"date":"2023-11-20T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-11-20T01:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/s1788.net\/?p=240"},"modified":"2023-11-16T12:58:04","modified_gmt":"2023-11-16T04:58:04","slug":"%e5%a4%aa%e9%99%bd%e5%9f%8e%e5%a8%9b%e6%a8%82%e5%9f%8e%e5%be%b7%e5%b7%9e%e6%92%b2%e5%85%8b%e6%96%b0%e7%8e%a9%e6%b3%95%ef%bc%81%e8%92%99%e7%89%b9%e5%8d%a1%e6%b4%9b%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e5%8a%a9%e4%bd%a01","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/s1788.net\/%e5%a4%aa%e9%99%bd%e5%9f%8e%e5%a8%9b%e6%a8%82%e5%9f%8e%e5%be%b7%e5%b7%9e%e6%92%b2%e5%85%8b%e6%96%b0%e7%8e%a9%e6%b3%95%ef%bc%81%e8%92%99%e7%89%b9%e5%8d%a1%e6%b4%9b%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e5%8a%a9%e4%bd%a01\/","title":{"rendered":"\u592a\u967d\u57ce\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce\u5fb7\u5dde\u64b2\u514b\u65b0\u73a9\u6cd5\uff01\u8499\u7279\u5361\u6d1b\u7b56\u7565\u52a9\u4f601\u79d2\u8b8a\u9ad8\u624b"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e00\u3001\u8499\u7279\u5361\u6d1b\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>1.1 \u8499\u7279\u5361\u6d1b\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u6982\u5ff5 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8499\u7279\u5361\u6d1b\u7b56\u7565\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u6578\u5b78\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u901a\u904e\u96a8\u6a5f\u751f\u6210\u6578\u64da\u4f86\u6a21\u64ec\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u60c5\u5883\u3002\u5728\u5fb7\u5dde\u64b2\u514b\u4e2d\uff0c\u9019\u610f\u5473\u8457\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u8499\u7279\u5361\u6d1b\u7b56\u7565\u4f86\u6a21\u64ec\u724c\u5c40\uff0c\u8a55\u4f30\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u624b\u724c\u548c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4e26\u4f30\u7b97\u5728\u7279\u5b9a\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\u7684\u52dd\u7387\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1.2 \u5982\u4f55\u904b\u4f5c\uff1f <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8499\u7279\u5361\u6d1b\u7b56\u7565\u901a\u5e38\u5305\u62ec\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6b65\u9a5f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> 1. \u958b\u59cb\u6a21\u64ec\uff1a\u96a8\u6a5f\u751f\u6210\u4e00\u7d44\u724c\u5c40\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u521d\u59cb\u624b\u724c\u3001\u516c\u5171\u724c\u548c\u5c0d\u624b\u7684\u624b\u724c\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2. \u91cd\u8907\u6a21\u64ec\uff1a\u591a\u6b21\u57f7\u884c\u9019\u500b\u904e\u7a0b\uff0c\u6a21\u64ec\u591a\u500b\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u724c\u5c40\u7d50\u679c\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>3. \u7d71\u8a08\u5206\u6790\uff1a\u7d71\u8a08\u5206\u6790\u591a\u500b\u6a21\u64ec\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u8a08\u7b97\u52dd\u7387\u548c\u9810\u671f\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><\/p>\n<cite>A Monte Carlo simulation is used to model the probability of different outcomes in a process that cannot easily be predicted due to the intervention of random variables. It is a technique used to understand the impact of risk and uncertainty. <br><br>A Monte Carlo simulation is used to tackle a range of problems in many fields including investing, business, physics, and engineering. When faced with significant uncertainty in making a forecast or estimate, some methods replace the uncertain variable with a single average number. The Monte Carlo Simulation instead uses multiple values and then averages the results. 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